Newgiza P2: Open draw without Tapia/Coello

After a two-week break, the Premier Padel circuit is back on court – and Newgiza P2 begins with a special set of circumstances. The world number one pair, Tapia / Coello, is absent, and that immediately changes the balance of the entire tournament. Suddenly, the path to the semi-finals looks more reachable for several teams, while the later rounds still promise matchups that read like high drama on paper.

In a P2 event, it is often not only ranking that decides outcomes, but the combination of matchups, daily form and workload management. Teams that start clean can build confidence; teams that wobble in tight early phases are often punished by an open bracket later on. Newgiza therefore offers the rare mix of opportunity window and risk at the same time.

A more open field without the top favourites

When the dominant duo is not in the draw, every seeding position is reassessed. Teams that have often fallen at the last hurdle see a chance not only to collect points, but to shape the event. That is precisely what makes the bracket in New Giza so appealing: it suggests clear hierarchy at the top, yet also a series of knockout matches in which form and matchups will decide everything.

The conditions matter as well. On fast courts with a clean bounce, serve-and-return sequences gain weight, while on slower surfaces patience in the glass corners becomes decisive. For many teams, the central task is therefore to find a stable length quickly, place lobs with precision and convert the few open balls with discipline.

The key question is who can fill the gap most convincingly. Alongside the usual contenders, pairs with new partnerships also move into focus. A tournament like this is the perfect test: the level is high, the stage is big, and every match becomes a measure of stability, decision-making and mental toughness.

Galán / Chingotto as the leading duo – but no free pass

As the top seeds, Galán / Chingotto carry the expectation of using the open draw. After a strong recent run, the objective is clear: ranking points and a statement to the rest of the field. At the same time, their projected route is far from comfortable, because in the rounds where favourites normally rely on routine, Newgiza features several awkward opponents.

Galán / Chingotto often benefit from stabilising the middle of the court and timing the switch between pressure and control. The decisive factor will be how well they structure the first shots after the return: getting to the net early, but without overcommitting. In an open tournament, one weak service stretch can be enough to end up in a tiebreak.

A potential semi-final against Paquito Navarro / Fran Guerrero looks especially spicy. This matchup would have a clear tactical flavour: changes of pace, variety, and the ability to manufacture easy points in decisive moments. For Galán / Chingotto it would test how well they can dictate play when rallies get longer and the opponent constantly offers new solutions.

Bottom half: a semi-final projection with real bite

In the lower half, everything points toward a semi-final many fans would sign up for immediately: Lebrón / Augsburger versus Stupaczuk / Yanguas. Both teams arrive in Newgiza with their own narratives. While Stupaczuk / Yanguas need points and want to confirm their rhythm, the Lebrón / Augsburger combination brings a mix of experience and raw power.

In the later rounds it often comes down to who can execute their patterns cleanly when pressure and intensity rise. In this matchup, serve-and-return quality would be key, as would managing short balls. Whoever holds up better in the glass corners and places lobs more precisely can tilt the contest their way.

Another factor is the error rate on high balls. When rallies swing, smash decisions are often the turning point. A team that stays controlled, chooses the right height and does not try to force every ball reduces gift breaks. That is exactly where Newgiza can reveal the difference between a dominant run and an unnecessarily open match.

New pairings, new dynamics

Beyond the seeds, a second storyline shapes Newgiza: several new projects are being tested for the first time on this stage. For established teams it is fine-tuning, for new duos it is building foundations under match conditions. Newgiza P2 offers the right environment, because even early rounds allow no breathing room.

• Sanyo Gutiérrez / Víctor Ruiz
• Gonza Alfonso / Javi Barahona
• José Jiménez / Javi García

With such combinations, the first matches are often a glimpse of what is to come: how stable are the agreements on net takeovers? How clear are the roles when distributing balls? And how well does the partnership function when momentum swings? Small imperfections are punished at this level – but a strong tournament can also boost belief in the project.

Adapting to different opponent profiles is central. Against aggressive teams, clean lobs and controlled volleys matter; against patient opponents, the courage to take initiative becomes crucial. New duos must learn these switching moments faster because they do not yet share a common “library” of hundreds of matches. Newgiza will show who already has clear patterns and who is still experimenting.

Women’s draw: big names and a possible déjà vu

The women’s field is also packed with top teams, which makes the projections particularly attractive. In the top half, a semi-final between Triay / Brea and Fernández / Sánchez could emerge – a clash of styles where control of tempo would be decisive.

In the bottom half, a scenario many still remember looms large: a possible remake of the Miami semi-finals. Paula Josemaría / Bea González and Ari Sánchez / Andrea Ustero stand for elite quality, aggressive position changes and enormous stability in long rallies. In a tournament already defined by open pictures, such pairings would guarantee intensity.

It will also be interesting to see how teams convert break chances. In women’s padel, two or three key games per set often decide the outcome because both pairs defend so well. A team that puts early pressure on second serves and holds the first-volley position cleanly can create the difference, especially when matches enter crunch time.

French hopefuls in the spotlight

From a French perspective, attention is on two teams in particular. Alix Collombon / Jana Montes have an opening that is considered manageable before a potentially tough clash with Triay / Brea. Léa Godallier / Giorgia Marchetti, meanwhile, must be sharp right away, because Caldera / Goenaga are a confident duo who rarely let up in tight moments.

For both duos, a good start can open the entire tournament path. Teams that win efficiently in the first rounds save energy for the difficult crossings and improve their position in long matches. Newgiza P2 therefore delivers not only big names, but also real stories about momentum, adaptability and the value of an open bracket.